CORRELATION report disproves paradigm of deadly viral spread in March-May 2020

Extensive new study of all-cause mortality patterns in Spring 2020 using high-resolution geotemporal data, for Europe and the USA

CORRELATION has released a new and extensive research report entitled “Constraints from geotemporal evolution of all-cause mortality on the hypothesis of disease spread during Covid” authored by Joseph Hickey, Denis G. Rancourt, and Christian Linard.

Using high-resolution geotemporal all-cause mortality data, the authors show that mortality patterns during March-May 2020 in Europe and the USA are incompatible with the dominant paradigm of having been caused by person-to-person spread of a novel infectious virus.

From the Abstract:

Large peaks of excess all-cause mortality occurred immediately following the World Health Organization (WHO)’s March 11, 2020 COVID-19 pandemic declaration, in March-May 2020, in several jurisdictions in the Northern Hemisphere. The said large excess-mortality peaks are usually assumed to be due to a novel and virulent virus (SARS-CoV-2) that spreads by person-to-person contact, and are often referred to as resulting from the so-called first wave of infections. We tested the presumption of this viral spread paradigm using high-resolution spatial and temporal variations of all-cause mortality in Europe and the USA.

We studied excess all-cause mortality for subnational regions in the USA (states and counties) and Europe (NUTS statistical regions at levels 0-3) during March-May 2020, which we call the “first-peak period”, and also during June-September 2020, which we call the “summer-peak period”.

The data reveal several definitive features that are incompatible with the viral spread hypothesis (in comparison with qualified predictions of the leading spatiotemporal epidemic models):

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The report can be read at:

• Preprints.org

• CORRELATION Research in the Public Interest (with electronic bookmarks for easier reading)

The report was featured in a detailed media article today at The Defender:

• COVID Pandemic Interventions, Not the Virus, Drove Spikes in Excess Mortality, The Defender: Children’s Health Defense News & Views